TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Invalid Date EST
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect decentralized trader consensus and differ from traditional analyst forecasts, which typically rely on studio projections, historical performance data, and industry reports. Markets aggregate real-money bets, creating incentives for accuracy that can diverge from expert opinion. Analysts may emphasize production budgets or marketing spend, while traders factor in emerging social media sentiment, early viewership signals, and competitive releases. Comparing the two approaches reveals whether the crowd or experts are more bullish on specific titles for the #2 position.
On Polymarket, the #2 global Netflix movie this week is priced through outcome contracts representing each eligible film. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to their belief about which title will rank second, with prices ranging from 0 to 100 cents per share, where the winning outcome settles at 100 cents. The current market price reflects aggregated trader conviction. As Netflix viewership data updates and release schedules shift, prices adjust dynamically to reflect new information and changing probabilities throughout the week.
This market resolves on Jun 10, 2026. Resolution is determined by Netflix's official global top 10 movie rankings for the specified week. The outcome is settled based on which film occupies the #2 position according to Netflix's publicly reported viewership data. This objective, verifiable source eliminates ambiguity and ensures transparent settlement. Traders should monitor Netflix's weekly rankings announcements closely as the resolution date approaches to track which titles are gaining or losing ground in the global charts.
Several catalysts could shift odds for the #2 Netflix movie this week. Major releases or surprise drops on the platform will immediately impact viewership distribution. Social media trends, celebrity endorsements, or viral moments can drive unexpected interest in specific titles. Competitive releases from other streaming services may fragment audiences. Netflix algorithm changes or promotional pushes can elevate certain films. Real-time viewership data leaks or industry reports about early performance metrics often trigger sharp repricing. Awards announcements, critical reviews, and word-of-mouth momentum throughout the week will continuously influence trader expectations and market prices.