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What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$37,005

180

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 28, 2026

Closed: Apr 28, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

180

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,485
N/A
N/A
$7,639
Settled
Yes
polymarket

180

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Apex

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,066
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Roommates

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Roommates

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,908
N/A
N/A
$1,880
Settled
No
kalshi

Thrash

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,818
N/A
N/A
$1,019
Settled
No
polymarket

Thrash

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Untold: The Shooting at Hawthorne Hill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Untold: Jail Blazers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
polymarket

Husband, Father, Killer: The Alyssa Pladl Story

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Husband, Father, Killer: The Alyssa Pladl Story

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$247
N/A
N/A
$247
Settled
No
polymarket

The Requin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$693
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Requin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
$151
Settled
No
polymarket

The Travellers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lainey Wilson: Keepin' Country Cool

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mass

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$601
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nobody Dumps My Daughter

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
$501
Settled
No
kalshi

Halloween Ends

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
$394
Settled
No
kalshi

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$184
N/A
N/A
$178
Settled
No
kalshi

KPop Demon Hunters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie K

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve identically based on Netflix's official global Top 10 movies list published April 28, 2026, with the same data source, timing, and fallback rule.Primary resolution logic: Netflix official Top 10 Global Movies list published at top10.netflix.com on April 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution occurs on April 28, 2026 when Netflix publishes its weekly global Top 10 movies chart
  • The chart reflects viewership data from the prior week (Monday to Sunday)
  • The movie ranked in the #2 position determines which market resolves Yes
  • All listed candidate movies (Husband Father Killer, Jumanji Welcome to the Jungle, KPop Demon Hunters, Roommates, Nobody Dumps My Daughter, 180, Untold Jail Blazers, Thrash, The Requin, Halloween Ends, The Travellers, Lainey Wilson Keepin Country Cool, Mass, and others) are mutually exclusive
  • If no listed movie occupies the #2 position, the Other/catch-all option resolves Yes
  • Rankings are based on total global views in English-language movies only

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Netflix update delay or failure: If Netflix does not publish the Top 10 update by May 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve to Other/No
  • Tie or ranking ambiguity: Netflix's official published ranking is the sole arbiter; no secondary interpretation is permitted
  • Movie not on list: If the #2 movie is not among the pre-listed candidates on either platform, the Other/catch-all option resolves Yes
  • Data scope (English only): Only English-language movies are counted in Netflix's Global Top 10 Movies ranking per Polymarket specification
Timing: Resolution date: April 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (Netflix chart publication). Fallback deadline: May 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If no update by fallback deadline, markets resolve to Other/No.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.