TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:24 AM EST
Polymarket
The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered. If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered. If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts or polls, this market offers a unique perspective based on the wisdom of the crowd. While analysts may offer opinions, the odds on Polymarket reflect what a diverse group of individuals are willing to put their money on. Often, prediction markets can provide more accurate forecasts, particularly for events with complex or uncertain outcomes. This is because the market aggregates information from many sources and incentivizes participants to be well-informed. It's a dynamic comparison, as the market adjusts continuously with new information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether a specific topic will be discussed on the All-In Podcast. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a topic will be discussed, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and efficient way to forecast the podcast's content based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a review of the official podcast recording and transcripts to determine which topics were substantively discussed by the hosts. The outcome will be determined by whether a specific topic was discussed for a meaningful period of time during the podcast episode. The resolution process aims to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available information.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any pre-podcast announcements from the All-In hosts regarding planned topics would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major news events or trending discussions in the tech and business world could also influence trader sentiment, especially if they align with the hosts’ typical areas of focus. Unexpected guest appearances or teasers about controversial subjects could also create volatility. Monitoring social media and news sources for clues about the podcast's direction will be key to understanding potential market movements.