TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
God 5+ times
- Polymarket
God 5+ times - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 17, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 17, 2:23 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
Episode 4 of President Curtis Season 1 is scheduled to air on August 16, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of President Curtis. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of President Curtis has not been released in its entirety by August 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of President Curtis. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Polymarket
Episode 4 of President Curtis Season 1 is scheduled to air on August 16, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of President Curtis. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of President Curtis has not been released in its entirety by August 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of President Curtis. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds often reflect a more nuanced or contrarian view, incorporating trader sentiment and real-time information. Analysts may focus on script leaks, actor interviews, or production timelines, while traders react to a broader set of signals. When there’s a significant discrepancy, it can indicate either market skepticism or early insight that isn’t yet reflected in traditional analyses.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the episode is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the fourth episode airs, the exact dialogue will be compared against market outcomes by referencing the broadcast script or widely accepted transcripts. Traders can watch for official releases or reputable entertainment news sources to confirm the result.
Market movement can be triggered by script leaks, cast interviews, director commentary, or promotional material that hints at key dialogue. Social media buzz, fan theories gaining traction, and any sudden changes in production schedules may also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, unexpected plot developments or last-minute script changes could cause rapid re-pricing in the days leading up to the episode’s release.
