TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 3:21 AM EST
Polymarket
Episode 37 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on September 20, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Episode 37 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on September 20, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. For this market, the odds reflect what traders believe is most likely to be said during the episode, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than a single analyst might consider. If analysts are consistently predicting outcomes that diverge from the market’s probabilities, it could indicate a disagreement about the key factors influencing the event, or that the market is more accurately assessing the situation. This provides a unique perspective beyond traditional forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different statements being made. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the episode airs and the statements made during the show are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which statements were actually said during Episode 37 of Big Brother. Resolution will be based on a complete transcript or reliable recording of the episode, ensuring an accurate assessment of the event's outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news or spoilers regarding the content of Episode 37, such as leaked clips or insider information, would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Major developments within the Big Brother house, like dramatic confrontations or alliances, could also influence predictions about what will be discussed. Furthermore, changes in public sentiment or online discussions surrounding the show and its contestants could impact trading activity and, consequently, the market's probabilities.