TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 4:06 AM EST
Polymarket
Episode 33 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on September 13, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Episode 33 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on September 13, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts for what will be said on Big Brother is challenging, as formal analyst coverage of reality television is limited. However, the current odds in this market reflect the collective wisdom of traders who are actively assessing the likelihood of different statements. These traders consider factors like previous episodes, contestant personalities, and potential storylines. Often, prediction markets can outperform traditional polls or expert opinions by aggregating a wider range of perspectives and incentivizing accurate forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether a specific statement will be uttered. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a statement *will* be said, the higher the share price will climb, approaching a maximum value of 100 cents. Conversely, if traders believe a statement is unlikely, the share price will fall towards 0 cents.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the episode airs and the content is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a review of the episode transcript or recording to determine whether the statements listed in the market were actually said by any contestant or host during Episode 33 of Big Brother. The market will settle to 100 if the statement was made, and 0 if it was not.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any pre-release clips or spoilers from Episode 33 would likely cause rapid shifts in the odds, as traders react to new information. Major events within the Big Brother house leading up to the episode, such as dramatic confrontations or alliances forming, could also influence predictions about the conversations that will take place. Unexpected guest appearances or challenges introduced in the episode could also be catalysts for movement in this market.