TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 4:53 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
Logan Paul is scheduled to open packs of the Pokemon Legendary Collection set live on stream on October 29, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified card is pulled (opened and revealed) by Logan Paul from a pack during this stream. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Each listed card refers specifically to its Reverse Holographic print from the Legendary Collection set. Pulling that card in any other version (e.g., its standard holographic print) will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Only cards pulled directly by Logan Paul, from a pack opened live during this stream, will count. Cards pulled by any other participant, cards shown but not opened live (e.g., pre-opened or shown off-stream), and cards acquired by any means other than opening a pack live on this stream will not qualify. If this stream does not occur, or Logan Paul does not open any Legendary Collection packs during it, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Logan Paul's official stream/VOD, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Polymarket
Logan Paul is scheduled to open packs of the Pokemon Legendary Collection set live on stream on October 29, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified card is pulled (opened and revealed) by Logan Paul from a pack during this stream. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Each listed card refers specifically to its Reverse Holographic print from the Legendary Collection set. Pulling that card in any other version (e.g., its standard holographic print) will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Only cards pulled directly by Logan Paul, from a pack opened live during this stream, will count. Cards pulled by any other participant, cards shown but not opened live (e.g., pre-opened or shown off-stream), and cards acquired by any means other than opening a pack live on this stream will not qualify. If this stream does not occur, or Logan Paul does not open any Legendary Collection packs during it, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Logan Paul's official stream/VOD, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell 'shares' representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular card, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Logan Paul card pulls. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction behind each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a comprehensive record of the cards Logan Paul actually pulls during his documented opening events. The outcome will be determined by identifying the cards revealed and matching them to the options available in this market. The platform will verify the results against publicly available video footage and official lists of pulled cards to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any announcements from Logan Paul regarding the specific sets he plans to open, or hints about the rarity of cards he’s hoping to find, would likely cause price movement. Unexpected news about the availability of certain cards, or changes to the opening format, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, early results from his opening events – if he pulls a particularly valuable card early on – could dramatically alter the probabilities for the remaining outcomes in this market.
