TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Above 45
- Kalshi
Above 45 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 19, 2026
Time left: 04d:09h:20m
Whalefall Rotten Tomatoes score?
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Intro
This market tracks whether the film *Whalefall* will achieve a Rotten Tomatoes score above 85%. Currently, the leading outcome – that it *will* achieve this score – is priced at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the Tomatometer score reported on Rotten Tomatoes, as defined in the resolution source. Keep an eye on the film’s initial critical reception as the market resolves on October 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, when the Tomatometer score will be assessed to determine the outcome.
Kalshi
The markets evaluate whether the film Whalefall achieves specific Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer scores above designated thresholds on October 19, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market corresponds to a unique score threshold, ranging from above 45 to above 90. For a market to resolve as "Yes," the film's Tomatometer score must exceed the specified threshold. For instance, a score of 75 would not satisfy the "Above 75" market, as the score must be strictly above the stated value. All markets will be determined on the Monday following the film's wide release. It is important to note that Rotten Tomatoes has not endorsed these markets, and any references to the platform are purely descriptive, with no affiliation or endorsement implied.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market offers a different perspective than many pre-release analyst forecasts. While some critics have offered early opinions, the market aggregates predictions from a wider range of individuals, potentially incorporating information not reflected in traditional reviews. This market allows for a dynamic assessment of expectations, shifting as new information becomes available. It's important to note that analyst predictions are often point estimates, while this market represents a probability distribution across potential Rotten Tomatoes scores.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different Rotten Tomatoes score ranges for Whalefall. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe a higher score is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a real-time, market-driven forecast of the film's critical reception.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Rotten Tomatoes score for Whalefall is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the accuracy of the collective predictions made by traders. The resolution will be based on the percentage of positive reviews received by the film, as reported by Rotten Tomatoes, and will determine which contracts pay out to winning traders. This allows for a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Early reviews from film festivals or prominent critics will likely cause price adjustments. Any major publicity surrounding the film, whether positive or negative, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about the cast or director, or even broader trends in moviegoing preferences, could play a role. As the release date approaches, the market will become increasingly sensitive to any information that could influence the final Rotten Tomatoes score for Whalefall.
