TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Western Kentucky vs. Nevada
kalshi
polymarket

Western Kentucky vs. Nevada

Volume:
$416,226

O/U 52.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 52.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 2:16 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 52.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,870
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montana St. wins 1st Half

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,872
N/A
N/A
$8,802
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,710
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 50.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,514
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 56.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 54.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nevada O/U 20.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nevada O/U 19.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

3Q Spread -1.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 62.5

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Western Kentucky vs. Nevada

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$369,850
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie 1st Half

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,349
N/A
N/A
$4,240
Settled
No
kalshi

Nevada wins 1st Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,595
N/A
N/A
$3,466
Settled
No
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,751
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,044
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$654
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread: Western Kentucky (-2.5)

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Western Kentucky 1H O/U 13.5

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -0.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 168

Intro

This market tracks which team will be winning, or if the game will be tied, at the end of the first half of the Montana State versus Nevada college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of a tie in the first half is 11.0%. This forecast aggregates data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official NCAA game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 5 at 10:30 PM ET, as the first half score will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same underlying game outcome data from NCAA sources with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official NCAA game results

Core resolution logic:

  • Game winner resolves to the team that wins the match
  • Spread resolves to Western Kentucky only if they win by 3 or more points
  • Over/Under resolves based on combined total score of both teams
  • Postponements keep markets open until game completion
  • Cancellations with no make-up game resolve all markets 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed. If the game is rescheduled and played later, markets resolve based on the new result.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up date, all markets resolve 50-50 regardless of current odds or scores.
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the official NCAA game conclusion, with special handling for postponements and cancellations as described above.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:30PM ET: If Western Kentucky wins, the market will resolve to "Western Kentucky". If Nevada wins, the market will resolve to "Nevada". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the first half of the Montana State vs. Nevada college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. If Nevada scores more points than Montana State in the first half, the 'Nevada wins 1st Half' market resolves to Yes. If Montana State scores more points than Nevada in the first half, the 'Montana St. wins 1st Half' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points in the first half, resulting in a tie, the 'Tie 1st Half' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the first half count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result of the first half. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Western Kentucky vs. Nevada matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders price the contest’s possible outcomes. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $416,226, and 24-hour volume of $17,783 across venues like Polymarket and Kalshi. This gives a consensus view of market sentiment as the game approaches, highlighting any shifts in perceived advantage for either team.

Price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi stem from distinct user bases, liquidity levels, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, if one platform has higher volume, its prices may reflect more immediate reactions to news or analytics. Additionally, each venue’s fee structure and interface can influence how traders place bets, leading to variations in implied chances even for the same underlying event.