TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 6:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will lead at the end of the third quarter in an upcoming college football game between Western Kentucky and Indiana. It provides a snapshot of in-game momentum by isolating performance in a single quarter, offering insight into potential shifts in the contest's trajectory.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points during the third quarter of the Western Kentucky vs. Indiana college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. If Indiana scores more points in that quarter, the "Indiana wins 3rd Quarter" market resolves to Yes. If Western Kentucky scores more points, the "Western Kentucky wins 3rd Quarter" market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the "Tie 3rd Quarter" market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or lineup changes – this market tends to adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as the event draws closer and more trading activity occurs. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team winning the third quarter. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their chances. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the liquidity and potential price impact of larger trades. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the third quarter of the Western Kentucky vs Indiana game will be declared the winner of this market. The final score will be verified against official game statistics and sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Western Kentucky or Indiana would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, general news and sentiment surrounding college basketball, or even weather conditions potentially affecting the game, could play a role. As the game approaches, real-time updates and analysis will likely drive the most significant movements in this market.