TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points specifically in the fourth quarter of a college football game between Western Kentucky and Georgia. It focuses solely on the final 15 minutes of regulation play, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends entirely on comparative scoring in that single quarter.
If Georgia wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Western Kentucky vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Western Kentucky wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Western Kentucky vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Western Kentucky vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives that traditional sportsbooks might miss. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the eventual outcome. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, offering a convenient benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, risk tolerance, and market participation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, as indicated by trader activity, is a 4th quarter tie, though market sentiment can shift rapidly based on new information or trading activity. The price discovery process on Kalshi is entirely driven by supply and demand among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the 4th quarter of the Western Kentucky vs Georgia game will determine the winning contract. Resolution will be based on official game results as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will receive nothing. The market’s final price will reflect the ultimate result of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could impact the perceived probabilities. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Late-breaking news or unexpected developments during the game itself will undoubtedly have a substantial effect. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve before it resolves.