TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how decisively Wisconsin is expected to win against Western Illinois in their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point margin threshold, allowing participants to speculate on the extent of Wisconsin's victory.
All markets resolve based on Wisconsin’s point differential victory over Western Illinois in the college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For any market, if Wisconsin wins by more than the specified point margin, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or biases, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Examining the difference between the two can offer insights into public sentiment and potential value in either market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Wisconsin-Western Illinois spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of a particular outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of Wisconsin covering the spread.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Western Illinois versus Wisconsin game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing body of college football. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread at the conclusion of the game. This allows for a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the Wisconsin-Western Illinois spread market. Injury reports for key players on either team would be significant, as would any major changes in team strategy or coaching decisions. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also impact the spread. Public sentiment, reflected in news coverage and social media, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent than concrete events. Any late-breaking news related to team performance or player availability has the potential to shift the market price.