TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. TCU Horned Frogs (W)
Volume:
$2,180,773
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between West Virginia Mountaineers and TCU Horned Frogs scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory—it states both West Virginia winning and TCU winning resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a competitive outcome prediction. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (winner name), which is internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the platform clarifies whether the Yes resolution applies to both outcomes or if this is a documentation error. If both outcomes truly resolve to Yes, the market is not a winner-prediction market and should not be grouped with Polymarket's competitive outcome market. Polymarket's structure is sound and tradeable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both West Virginia win and TCU win resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible for a competitive binary market and suggests either a documentation error or a fundamentally different market structure (e.g., 'will the game be played'). Key quote: 'If West Virginia wins...resolves to Yes. If TCU wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Resolves to the name of the winning team: either 'West Virginia Mountaineers' or 'TCU Horned Frogs'. Includes standard edge cases: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If the West Virginia Mountaineers win, the market will resolve to West Virginia Mountaineers. If the TCU Horned Frogs win, the market will resolve to TCU Horned Frogs.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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