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West Virginia Mountaineers vs. TCU Horned Frogs
kalshi
polymarket

West Virginia Mountaineers vs. TCU Horned Frogs

Volume:
$1,192,612

TCU

 - Kalshi

TCU - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 8:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

TCU

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$663,645
N/A
N/A
$365,229
Settled
Yes
kalshi

West Virginia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475,411
N/A
N/A
$212,510
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,772
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

West Virginia Mountaineers vs. TCU Horned Frogs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,639
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 131.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,114
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 130.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,031
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between West Virginia Mountaineers and TCU Horned Frogs scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET at TCU. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread (-5.5 TCU), and two over/under totals (130.5 and 131.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (WVU win and TCU win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until clarification is provided. Use Polymarket moneyline as the reliable reference. Spread and over/under markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent with each other.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline logic error: Both "If West Virginia wins...resolves to Yes" and "If TCU wins...resolves to Yes" create an impossible state where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to "West Virginia Mountaineers" if WVU wins, or "TCU Horned Frogs" if TCU wins. Spread resolves to TCU if they win by 6+ points, otherwise WVU. Over/under markets (130.5 and 131.5) resolve based on combined score thresholds. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.