TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. TCU Horned Frogs
Volume:
$1,192,612
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between West Virginia Mountaineers and TCU Horned Frogs scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET at TCU. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread (-5.5 TCU), and two over/under totals (130.5 and 131.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (WVU win and TCU win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until clarification is provided. Use Polymarket moneyline as the reliable reference. Spread and over/under markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent with each other.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline logic error: Both "If West Virginia wins...resolves to Yes" and "If TCU wins...resolves to Yes" create an impossible state where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to "West Virginia Mountaineers" if WVU wins, or "TCU Horned Frogs" if TCU wins. Spread resolves to TCU if they win by 6+ points, otherwise WVU. Over/under markets (130.5 and 131.5) resolve based on combined score thresholds. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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