TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the West Indies will win the men's professional Test cricket match against Pakistan scheduled for July 25, 2026. On Kalshi, the current probability that West Indies will win is 93.0%, while Pakistan winning stands at 7.0%. The result will be determined by the match's official outcome. Watch for updates as the July 25, 2026 match date approaches, which will serve as the key catalyst for resolution.
The match is scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. Resolution depends on the official result declared by the governing body. If the match is cancelled before the scheduled start or abandoned before the toss occurs with no official result declared, all markets resolve to fair market price. If the match is delayed more than 5 days from its original start time before commencement, all markets resolve to fair market price. If the match is abandoned after the toss has occurred, markets resolve based on the official result recorded by the governing body. Each outcome market (West Indies win, Pakistan win, or Draw/Tie) resolves to Yes if that specific result occurs.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different audiences and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect the collective belief of traders who have real money at stake. This market aggregates thousands of individual forecasts, which can sometimes reveal signals that traditional oddsmakers have not yet fully priced in, though both sources remain valuable for forming your own view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's collective estimate of the probability of that outcome occurring. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit your position at the prevailing market rate.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, ensuring clarity and fairness for all traders. Until that point, prices will continue to fluctuate as new developments, team news, and betting patterns influence trader expectations.
Key catalysts include team announcements regarding player injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments that could shift perceived match strength. Weather conditions at the venue, recent form and head-to-head records, and any last-minute roster updates may all influence trader positioning. Additionally, early match developments—such as early wickets or strong batting performances—will likely trigger sharp repricing as traders update their forecasts in real time.