TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 5:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the specific round in which either Wesley Schultz or Jackson McVey secures a decisive victory in their scheduled UFC Fight Night bout. Outcomes include knockout, technical knockout, submission, disqualification in a specified round, or a final decision/draw/no contest across all rounds.
The event evaluates whether Wesley Schultz or Jackson McVey achieves a knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), submission, or disqualification (DQ) in any of the first three rounds of their scheduled UFC Fight Night match on August 22, 2026. If either fighter secures such a finish in Round 1, Round 2, or Round 3, the corresponding market resolves to Yes for that fighter in that round. A victory by decision—whether split, unanimous, or majority—or a draw, technical decision, or no contest across the full fight duration resolves the 'Decision / Draw / No Contest' market to Yes, and does not count as a round-specific win. Technical decisions are explicitly treated as decisions for settlement purposes and do not contribute to a round victory. The structure ensures that only definitive finishes within the defined rounds or the overall match result determine resolution, with clear distinctions between round-specific stoppages and final judged outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment through dynamic pricing, which often differs from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbook lines incorporate additional factors like historical performance and public betting trends, while prediction market odds are driven purely by trader conviction and real-time information flow. The resulting spreads can vary significantly, offering a distinct perspective on expected outcomes. Traders should consider both sources for a well-rounded view, as each captures different aspects of market anticipation and betting behavior.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the officially recorded round in which the fight concludes, whether by knockout, submission, or judges’ scorecards, and will be finalized once widely reported and immutable.
Key signals such as pre-fight media appearances, training updates, injury reports, and betting volume spikes can all shift this market. Any change in fighter momentum, strategic adjustments, or even shifts in public sentiment captured through social media may cause traders to re-evaluate their positions, moving odds in the lead-up to the event.