This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Weber State Wildcats and Idaho State Bengals scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline, multiple spread variations, and over/under totals across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Idaho St. win and Weber St. win) are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid resolution path for No. This is a data integrity failure that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline until the platform issues a clarification or correction. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are logically sound and use consistent NCAA-based final score determination. If you are long or short the Kalshi moneyline, request manual review from Kalshi support before settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Weber State Wildcats or Idaho State Bengals). Spreads resolve based on margin: Idaho State -1.5 resolves Yes if they win by 2+; Idaho State -2.5 resolves Yes if they win by 3+. Totals resolve based on combined score: O/U 153.5 resolves Over if combined >= 154; O/U 152.5 resolves Over if combined >= 153. All markets: postponement = hold open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split. Source: NCAA.org, final score including overtime. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Kalshi: Moneyline states: 'If Idaho St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Weber St. wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No resolution path exists for No. Key Quote: 'If Idaho St. wins the Weber St. at Idaho St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Weber St. wins the Weber St. at Idaho St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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