TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 10:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Watford and Southampton, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Watford vs Southampton professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for August 16, 2026. If Watford wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Watford wins by more than 1.5 but not more than 2.5 goals, that market resolves to Yes, while the ‘more than 2.5 goals’ market resolves to No. Similarly, if Southampton wins by more than 1.5 goals, that market resolves to Yes. If Southampton wins by more than 2.5 goals, that market resolves to Yes, and the ‘more than 1.5 goals’ market also resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a draw, or if either team wins by a margin that does not meet the threshold for any market, all markets resolve to No. The outcome is determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and sharp analysis. While sportsbooks may set a static spread, prediction markets can adjust rapidly based on new data, injuries, or tactical shifts. This can create opportunities where this market priced differently from mainstream sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The spread is calculated based on the official match statistics, and the market settles accordingly based on those verified figures.
In the coming weeks, several signals could shift this market. Key injuries or lineup changes for either team, as well as early pre-match betting trends, often cause rapid price adjustments. Momentum swings from recent form, head-to-head statistics, and even weather conditions that might affect play style can also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 16, 2026 approaches, any last-minute news — such as tactical announcements or sudden performance changes in practice — may produce sharp movements in the odds on Kalshi.