TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers various betting markets for an upcoming EFL Championship soccer match between Watford FC and Stoke City FC, including match outcomes, goal totals, and team-specific performance metrics across different halves of the game.
More markets for the EFL Championship game, scheduled for September 12 at 10:00 AM ET.
All four markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties) in the specified EFL Championship match. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the stated team wins by the required margin (either >1.5 or >2.5 goals). Kalshi disclaims official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. On platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, prices are set by traders betting with actual funds, which can create sharper or more volatile estimates. Sportsbook odds incorporate bookmaker margins and may weigh additional factors like public betting trends. For this market, prediction markets may show tighter spreads or higher implied probabilities for underdogs, depending on trader sentiment. Comparing both can reveal where crowd-sourced analysis diverges from institutional pricing, potentially highlighting value opportunities.
Price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi often stem from variations in user base, liquidity, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For this market, Polymarket may attract more international traders, while Kalshi could see heavier participation from local fans, skewing probabilities. Liquidity gaps can also amplify small trades, pushing prices away from each other. Additionally, each platform’s fee structure and order types influence how traders hedge positions, leading to divergent views on the most likely outcome.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent form can all shift expectations and move this market. Weather conditions on the day of the match may also influence betting patterns, especially if they favor one team’s style of play. Media narratives and expert analysis leading up to the game can shape trader sentiment, while unexpected lineup announcements or tactical decisions often cause rapid price adjustments. Any development that alters the perceived balance between the two sides is likely to impact probabilities on Polymarket and Kalshi alike.