TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:22 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Watford FC and Stoke City FC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Watford FC" if Watford FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Stoke City FC" if Stoke City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Watford FC and Stoke City FC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Watford FC" if Watford FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Stoke City FC" if Stoke City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, the current pricing of this market shows a strong tilt toward one side, with implied probabilities differing from typical sportsbook lines. Traders on Polymarket often reflect sharper, more nuanced insights than standard sportsbooks, driven by real-time betting activity and community sentiment. The gap between prediction market odds and sportsbook odds can highlight where the crowd sees value differently than established bookmakers. This divergence may arise from access to detailed analysis or rapid updates unique to decentralized platforms. Monitoring both sides helps identify potential shifts in perception leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to find the back of the net during the fixture determines the result, and the platform will finalize the market based on official match records. No additional analysis or interpretation is needed beyond confirming which side scored the opening goal, ensuring a straightforward and transparent resolution process aligned with real-world events.
Injuries to key attacking players, managerial tactics, or weather conditions could significantly shift expectations for the first goal scorer market. Updates on starting lineups released closer to kickoff often cause rapid price adjustments, especially if a high-scoring player is surprisingly benched or starts. Broader team form, recent head-to-head statistics, and even early match events like yellow cards can influence trader sentiment. Any development altering the perceived likelihood of an early goal will be reflected in shifting odds on Polymarket as the event approaches.