TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Sports
Watford FC vs. Stoke City FC
limitless
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Watford FC vs. Stoke City FC?

Volume:
$72,654

Stoke

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 12:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stoke

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,281
N/A
N/A
$17,531
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Stoke City FC

100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Stoke City

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1.5¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Watford

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,128
N/A
N/A
$17,484
Settled
No
polymarket

Watford FC

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Watford

N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,684
N/A
N/A
$4,406
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Watford FC vs. Stoke City FC)

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,026
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

N/A
N/A
1.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Watford FC and Stoke City FC scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets predict whether Watford will win, Stoke City will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation/No-Game Handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves to 'No' if canceled, while Limitless resolves to 'Yes'.Hero tip: If a cancellation appears likely, consider hedging positions across platforms to mitigate risk from the differing resolution rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, Flashscore, or Sofascore as backup sources. Key Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"."
  • Kalshi: Does not explicitly address cancellation, but implies resolution based on official results if available. Key Quote: "If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Limitless: Resolves to 'YES' (Draw) if the match is not completed and no make-up match is scheduled. Key Quote: "If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "YES"."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Watford FC and Stoke City FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Watford vs Stoke professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Watford wins, the 'Watford' market resolves to Yes; if Stoke wins, the 'Stoke' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event does not consider outcomes determined by extra time or penalty kicks, and Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 12, 2026, 14:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Watford vs. Stoke City match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a roughly 59% chance of a specific outcome, as reflected by the combined volume of $72,654. This represents the aggregated predictions of users trading on both venues. The 24-hour volume is $72,235, showing recent market activity. This allows for a cross-platform view of expectations for the match, offering a more comprehensive prediction than any single market alone.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. This market’s odds reflect the collective intelligence of participants who are financially incentivized to be accurate. Consequently, prediction markets can sometimes provide more accurate forecasts, particularly when there’s significant public interest and trading volume. The difference can also stem from differing information access and analysis among market participants versus sportsbook analysts.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Watford vs. Stoke City match. Trading volume can also vary significantly between the two platforms, impacting price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, Polymarket currently favors a specific outcome at a certain percentage, while Kalshi leans toward another outcome, reflecting these differing dynamics.