TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, Waterford FC or Dundalk FC, will score the first goal in their upcoming match. The market also includes an option for 'Neither' team scoring within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Resolution is based on official match statistics.
In the upcoming match between Waterford FC and Dundalk FC, scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Waterford FC" if Waterford FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Dundalk FC" if Dundalk FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Lorient and Toulouse FC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Lorient" if FC Lorient are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toulouse FC" if Toulouse FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Waterford vs. Dundalk first-to-score market can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery, potentially creating a discrepancy. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution on Polymarket and Predict can influence price movements. These differences reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the diverse perspectives of traders.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Waterford FC or Dundalk FC would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match media coverage focusing on one team's advantage, could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal issues could affect traders’ assessments of each team’s chances.