TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 4:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Watch The Throne by Kanye West will accumulate more than 13,564,606 streams on Luminate during the May 22–28 tracking week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 47.5%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate streaming data for that specific week. The outcome hinges on streaming performance during the May 22–28 tracking period, which will establish whether the album crosses the 13.5 million stream threshold.
On Kalshi, Watch The Throne streams up this week is priced as a binary contract: will the track exceed 13,564,606 streams on Luminate from May 22–28? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract trades between 0 and 100, where the current price reflects the market's consensus probability. Traders buy at lower prices if they believe streams will exceed the threshold, or sell if they expect underperformance. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as the resolution date approaches and more data becomes available, making late-week trading typically more liquid and precise than early-week positions.
The Watch The Throne streams up this week market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution hinges on official stream count data from Luminate for the May 22–28 tracking window. The outcome is binary: if Watch The Throne by Kanye West records above 13,564,606 streams during that seven-day period, the "yes" outcome wins; otherwise, "no" prevails. Luminate data is the authoritative source and typically becomes available shortly after the tracking week closes, allowing for prompt settlement.
Several catalysts could shift odds for Watch The Throne streams up this week. Major playlist additions on Spotify, Apple Music, or other DSPs would boost visibility and stream velocity. Social media viral moments, artist endorsements, or surprise collaborations could drive listener engagement. Chart performance and radio play during the tracking week often correlate with streaming volume. Competing releases from high-profile artists may fragment listener attention. Additionally, any news about the album's reception, critical reviews, or fan sentiment could influence trader expectations about whether the stream threshold will be reached by May 28.