TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 2:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the album Watch The Throne achieves streaming performance above a specific threshold during the June 12-18 tracking week. Streaming data is compiled from global sources and typically published within 48 hours after the week concludes.
If Watch The Throne has above 14,595,861 Worldwide Streams during the June 12 - June 18, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds distill real money and skin-in-the-game incentives into a single probability, whereas traditional analyst forecasts often rely on expert opinion or historical patterns. This market aggregates the views of many traders with direct financial motivation to be accurate. When comparing this market's odds to published analyst commentary or entertainment news predictions, you may notice divergence—markets often move faster and reflect breaking information more dynamically. Both approaches offer value; markets excel at capturing distributed knowledge, while analysts provide narrative context.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed against credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether Watch The Throne streams air during the specified week. Once the event window closes and the outcome is verifiable through reliable reporting, the market will settle and traders' positions will be finalized. Until then, odds may fluctuate as new announcements or scheduling updates emerge.
Key catalysts for this market include official announcements from the artists or streaming platforms confirming or denying broadcast plans, social media hints or teases, industry news about exclusive deals, and any scheduling conflicts or delays. Chart performance or cultural momentum around the album could also influence trader sentiment. Breaking entertainment news, platform partnerships, or surprise drops tend to trigger sharp repricing. Traders monitor music industry outlets, artist social accounts, and streaming service announcements closely for signals that shift conviction on whether streams will materialize this week.