TOTAL VOLUME:
$139.1b
24H VOL:
$140,881,811
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,525,689,812
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,593,041,412
479,659
Markets across
37,354
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,909
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Washington will win its college football game against USC. Currently, Kalshi gives Washington a 52.0% probability of winning, while USC is at 49.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Washington vs USC college football game, as determined by the official result of the game. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3, 2026, as the final score will determine the resolution of this market.
The market resolves to Yes if either Washington or USC wins the game as scheduled. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, analysis, and their own predictions, leading to dynamic price movements. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, making it a unique measure of expectations for the Washington vs USC game.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final official result of the Washington vs USC game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on that result. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the official results to understand how this market will ultimately settle.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Washington or USC teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts, or even significant shifts in public sentiment—perhaps driven by expert analysis—could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. As the game approaches, any updates that alter the perceived likelihood of either team winning will be reflected in the trading activity and price changes within this market.