TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Washington vs San Francisco: First 5 Innings
kalshi

Washington vs San Francisco: First 5 Innings

Volume:
$190,487

Washington wins first 5 innings

 - Kalshi

Washington wins first 5 innings - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 10, 5:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Washington wins first 5 innings

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$106,789
N/A
N/A
$90,599
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Francisco wins first 5 innings

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,910
N/A
N/A
$43,664
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,788
N/A
N/A
$24,085
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

A professional baseball game between Washington and San Francisco on June 10, 2026 will result in one team leading or the teams being tied after the first five innings.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-money trader consensus rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from many independent participants. For the Washington vs San Francisco first 5 innings event, comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree, potentially highlighting value or consensus shifts closer to game time.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Washington vs San Francisco first 5 innings market is priced as binary contracts reflecting the most likely outcome. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the implied probability of that outcome. As new information emerges—such as lineup announcements, weather updates, or injury reports—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The current price on Kalshi reflects the collective assessment of all active traders in that contract.

The Washington vs San Francisco first 5 innings market resolves on Jun 10, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the game's first five innings as recorded by MLB. The outcome depends on which team scores more runs during that specific period, with all plays—hits, errors, walks, and runs—counted according to standard baseball rules. Once the fifth inning concludes and the official score is confirmed, the market settles and winning contracts are paid out.

Several factors can shift the market price before Jun 10, 2026. Starting pitcher announcements or changes, bullpen availability, and recent team form in early innings all influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions—wind speed and direction affect fly balls—and field conditions matter significantly. Injury updates to key hitters or pitchers, lineup changes, and historical head-to-head performance in first innings can trigger repricing. As game time approaches, late-breaking news and final betting action from sharp traders often cause the largest price moves.