TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 12:19 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT. This event tracks whether the game goes to extra innings.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time consensus from traders and differ from traditional sportsbook odds, which are set by oddsmakers and adjusted for betting volume and profit margins. Prediction markets like Kalshi aggregate distributed beliefs without the sportsbook's built-in edge, often producing more efficient price discovery. Sportsbooks may also offer different bet types and limits. Comparing the two reveals how professional traders value the extra-innings outcome versus how bookmakers price it for the general betting public. Both sources provide valuable context for assessing the true probability.
On Kalshi, the Washington vs San Francisco: Extra Innings market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that extra innings will occur in the game. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the current market price indicating the collective forecast. The price moves in real time as new trades execute and as game-time approaches. Kalshi's order book displays bids and asks, allowing traders to enter at their preferred price or accept the current market rate. The market remains active until the game concludes and the outcome is determined.
The Washington vs San Francisco: Extra Innings market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, shortly after the game concludes. The outcome is determined by whether the game extends into extra innings or concludes within the standard nine innings. Once the final result is official, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions. Early resolution may occur if the game is postponed or cancelled under specific conditions. Traders should monitor official game status updates and any announcements from the league to stay informed of timing changes.
Several factors could shift the market price before the game begins and during play. Roster changes, injuries to key players, or weather forecasts affecting game conditions may influence trader expectations. Bullpen strength and recent offensive trends for both teams signal the likelihood of a close game requiring extra innings. During the game itself, score progression, pitching changes, and momentum swings will drive real-time price movements. Breaking news about player availability or field conditions closer to game time could also trigger significant market repricing as traders update their probability estimates.