TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
The Washington vs San Diego baseball game scheduled for September 9, 2026, will proceed through its nine scheduled innings. If the score remains tied after these nine innings, the game will continue into additional periods called extra innings.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Washington vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to take a position, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to news and developments than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the game's likely result, based on the collective judgment of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Washington vs San Diego game, including any extra innings played. The platform will verify the final score against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington or San Diego team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they affect playing conditions, could also move the market. Furthermore, performance in preceding games, shifts in team momentum, and even late-breaking news about pitching matchups could all influence trader behavior and alter the probabilities reflected in the contract prices. Unexpected lineup changes could also be a catalyst.