TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,661,467,257
OPEN INTEREST:
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494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Purdue wins by over 1.5 points
- Kalshi
Purdue wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 17, 2026
Time left: 05h:19m:26s
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This market tracks whether Purdue will win their college football game against Washington by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives Purdue winning by over 1.5 points a 58.0% probability. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Washington vs Purdue college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled game date of October 17, 2026, based on the final score.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Washington vs Purdue college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. For markets where Purdue must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs if Purdue's victory exceeds that margin; conversely, for markets where Washington must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs if Washington's victory exceeds that margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds defined in individual markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the game. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by new information, expert analysis, and shifts in public sentiment, all reflected in the trading activity on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Washington vs Purdue game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington or Purdue teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public sentiment shifts reflected in expert analysis and media coverage, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected developments leading up to the game could create new trading opportunities.