TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,661,467,257
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,632,565
494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
O/U 35.5
- Polymarket
O/U 35.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 17, 2026
Time left: 02h:19m:26s
$
This market tracks the probability of Purdue covering the 5.5-point spread against Washington in their college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of Purdue covering is 100.0%, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Washington vs Purdue college football game originally scheduled for October 16, 2026, with a resolution date estimate of October 17, 2026. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 16, 2026, to see if Purdue can secure a win by more than 5.5 points.
In the upcoming college football game between Washington and Purdue, scheduled for October 16 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game. This market will resolve to "Purdue" if Purdue win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the game on the scheduled date. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. As a result, the odds here can sometimes be more accurate, especially when incorporating information not readily available to sportsbooks. However, sportsbook odds are still a useful comparison point, and discrepancies can present potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to a variety of factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific rules and constraints of each platform can lead to differing opinions on the fair price of a contract. For example, different risk appetites among traders on each platform, or varying levels of information available to users, can contribute to price discrepancies. These differences are a natural part of a decentralized prediction market ecosystem.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Washington vs. Purdue game will be used to determine the winning outcome. This market’s resolution will be based on the officially reported results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as any changes to the game’s schedule or official results could impact the market’s final settlement.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington or Purdue teams would likely impact the odds. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected team performance in preceding games could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, major weather forecasts for the game location, or significant public betting patterns observed in sportsbooks, could influence trading activity and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market. Monitoring these factors can help traders make informed decisions.