TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the point differential outcome of an upcoming professional football game between Washington and Philadelphia. It covers various possible margins of victory for either team, ranging from narrow wins to decisive blowouts. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
The market resolves based on the point differential between Philadelphia and Washington in their full game, including overtime, scheduled for September 13, 2026. If Philadelphia wins by exactly 0, 1-6, 7-14, or 15+ points, the corresponding 'Philadelphia wins by [specific margin]' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Washington wins by 1-6, 7-14, or 15+ points, the respective 'Washington wins by [specific margin]' market resolves to Yes. A tie (exactly 0 point differential) resolves only the 'Tie' market to Yes. Each outcome is mutually exclusive, ensuring only one market resolves to Yes based on the final score. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s lines. It’s a useful comparison point for informed analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that margin occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the actual winning margin falls within the contract’s specified range.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final winning margin, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts payout. Contracts corresponding to the actual winning margin will settle at 100, while those representing different margins will settle to zero. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington or Philadelphia teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could impact trading activity and lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential market movements.