TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team's defense can tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specified thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team during the Washington vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either team, resolving to Yes if the team records at least the specified number of sacks. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded by each team during the specified game will determine the outcome of this market. Official statistics from the NFL will be used to verify the results. Traders will be able to see the final results reflected in their account balances shortly after the official statistics are released. The resolution process ensures a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries on either Washington or Philadelphia, particularly to offensive linemen or defensive players known for generating sacks, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as strong winds or rain, could also impact the game and therefore the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team matchups could shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also cause noticeable price fluctuations.