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OPEN INTEREST:
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394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Washington and Philadelphia, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team secures a win by a specified number of goals. The resolution depends on the official game result, accounting for potential postponements within a defined timeframe.
The event evaluates various winning margins for the NHL game between Washington and Philadelphia scheduled for September 26, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered, each defined by a specific goal differential: Philadelphia winning by over 2.5 goals, Philadelphia winning by over 1.5 goals, Washington winning by over 1.5 goals, and Washington winning by over 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met in the official final result of the game, the corresponding market resolves accordingly. Postponements are permitted if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, with resolution based on the final result when played. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, you may observe discrepancies between the two. Polls and analysts’ predictions frequently align more closely with prediction market prices than sportsbook lines, as both attempt to assess true probabilities rather than incorporating a “vig.” This market allows for a different kind of insight into the potential game result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different sides of the spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving expectations of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The current price indicates the probability that the spread will fall within a particular range, as determined by the collective actions of those trading on the exchange.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Washington versus Philadelphia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the league and verified against trusted sports news sources. Traders who correctly predicted the direction and magnitude of the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. The final score will determine whether the Washington team covers the spread, or if Philadelphia does.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington or Philadelphia teams would likely cause movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts, or even unexpected team performance in preceding games could also impact trader sentiment. Public perception and media coverage, along with any late-breaking news related to team dynamics, are all potential catalysts that could shift the probabilities reflected in this market. Major shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks might also influence trading activity.