TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing performance thresholds for key players in an upcoming professional football game. It evaluates whether specific athletes achieve designated yardage milestones during the match, offering insights into their potential impact on the game's dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing yards accumulated by designated players during the specified game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the outcome is determined solely by the actual rushing yards recorded during the game. Each market has a unique threshold, and resolution is binary: meeting or exceeding the threshold results in a 'Yes' outcome, while falling short results in a 'No' outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. Early sportsbook lines might be heavily influenced by team reputations or pre-season expectations, whereas this market can adjust more rapidly to incorporate new information like injuries or changing weather forecasts. Over time, sportsbook odds often move closer to those seen in prediction markets as more data becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Buyers are expressing a belief that the actual rushing yards will be *less* than the contract's value, while sellers believe they will be *more*. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Washington versus Philadelphia game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual combined rushing yards achieved during the game. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics released by the league, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the expected weather conditions. A shift in the point spread could also influence trading activity, as it reflects broader expectations about the game's overall flow. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or offensive line matchups could also move the market as traders adjust their predictions based on new information and analysis.