TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether a specific player achieves various yardage milestones in a football game between two teams. The outcome depends on the combined total of rushing and receiving yards accumulated by the player during the match. Different thresholds define separate success criteria for the event.
The event evaluates whether Saquon Barkley achieves specified cumulative yardage thresholds (100+, 125+, and 150+) through combined rushing and receiving yards in the Washington vs. Philadelphia game scheduled for September 13, 2026. If Barkley is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Barkley takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual combined yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage threshold markets for this event.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. While sportsbooks may incorporate expert opinions and proprietary algorithms, this market benefits from a diverse range of participants, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the game date, as this market reacts to all available data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing and receiving yards. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate views may incur losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market price efficiently incorporates all available information and reflects the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total rushing and receiving yards for both the Washington and Philadelphia teams are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the total yards gained by each team, and this market will settle based on that combined total. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Washington or Philadelphia teams would be significant, as would any changes to the teams' offensive strategies. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially impacting the running game. Unexpected news regarding player matchups or coaching decisions could also shift the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could influence traders’ perceptions and move the price of this market.