TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the seventh point first in an upcoming football game. It allows participants to speculate on the early momentum of the game, reflecting strategic advantages or performance trends. The outcome depends solely on the sequence of scoring plays, not the final game result.
The markets resolve based on which team first reaches a total of seven points scored during the full game, including any overtime periods. If neither team achieves seven points by the end of regulation or overtime, the 'Neither Team' market resolves as the winner. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not commence within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. As a result, you might find that prediction market prices are more responsive to breaking news or subtle shifts in sentiment. However, it’s common to see convergence between the two, especially as an event approaches, as both attempt to accurately forecast the eventual outcome. It's important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by supply and demand, allowing the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations. Trading volume influences price discovery, with higher volume generally indicating greater confidence in the current price.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team reaches 7 points first during the Washington vs Philadelphia game. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will then finalize the payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner of the points race, based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington or Philadelphia would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s style of play, could also move the market. Unexpected shifts in coaching strategies or pre-game analysis from respected sports analysts could influence trader sentiment. Finally, even significant betting activity at sportsbooks could indirectly affect the prices on Kalshi as information spreads and traders adjust their positions.