TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the tenth point first in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic early-game momentum by focusing on the specific milestone of reaching ten points, rather than the final score. The outcome depends purely on the sequence of scoring plays during the contest.
The event determines whether Philadelphia, Washington, or neither team is the first to score ten points in their football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. If Philadelphia reaches ten points before Washington, the Philadelphia market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Washington reaches ten points first, its market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone at any point during the full game, including overtime, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled by closing the market at a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of its original time; otherwise, results are based on the official final outcome once play commences.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the aggregated predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to predict the same outcome – which team will reach 10 points first – and can be valuable tools for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic representation of expectations for the Washington vs Philadelphia points race. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – Washington or Philadelphia – reaches 10 points first during the game. The final score, as officially recorded by the league, will be used to verify the outcome. Trading will cease once the result is known and publicly available, and payouts will be distributed to contract holders based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy for either Washington or Philadelphia would likely cause shifts in the odds. Game-day performance, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, will also have an immediate impact. Unexpected weather conditions could also play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over the other. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of reaching 10 points first could move this market.