TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks passing yard thresholds for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. Markets resolve based on whether the designated player achieves various yardage milestones during the match. Settlement depends on actual performance metrics recorded during the game.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback achieves specified passing yard thresholds in the Washington vs Philadelphia game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—settlement is based strictly on the total passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage threshold markets for both Jalen Hurts and Jayden Daniels.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast of the final passing yardage. The market's efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome and profit from correctly priced contracts.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing yardage for both Washington and Philadelphia is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics released by the NFL will be used to determine the total passing yards achieved by each team during the game. The market will settle based on the actual combined passing yards, and any discrepancies will be addressed according to Kalshi’s standard procedures for ensuring accurate resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate strong winds or heavy rain, could impact passing strategies. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or offensive schemes could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive adjustments could lead to substantial price movements in this market as traders react to the evolving landscape.