TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks passing performance metrics for quarterbacks in a football game, focusing on thresholds of completed passes. Each market evaluates whether a specific player meets or exceeds a designated number of completions during the contest. Outcomes are determined purely by statistical achievement without regard to game context or other factors.
All markets evaluate passing completion thresholds for named quarterbacks in the specified football game. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the designated player records the exact number of completions or more as stated in the primary rule. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles based strictly on the actual passing completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of completion thresholds regardless of the specific numerical target.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, particularly when there is strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. If a large number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly, potentially offering value to informed participants. It's common to see discrepancies as new information emerges and market participants react.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing completion totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments as new information becomes available, and provides a transparent view of market sentiment regarding the Washington vs Philadelphia game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing completion totals from the Washington vs Philadelphia game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual passing completions will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not. The market will close prior to the game's completion to prevent manipulation.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor either a passing or running game, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking reports about coaching strategies or adjustments to offensive schemes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.