TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, determining whether specified athletes or units surpass predetermined fantasy point thresholds based on standardized scoring rules.
All markets resolve based on Sleeper’s default full-PPR fantasy scoring system applied to the full game (including overtime) between Washington and Philadelphia scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market specifies a threshold; if the named player or defensive unit records above that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Players who do not participate or lack a fantasy-point value assigned by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at expiration are used without additional rounding, and any post-expiration corrections are disregarded. Scoring includes passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defensive/special teams contributions, and accounts for negative impacts such as interceptions, missed kicks, and fumbles.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as the prediction market may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbooks, or vice versa. The market’s collective intelligence can sometimes outperform traditional forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different fantasy point outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official fantasy point totals for the Washington vs Philadelphia game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals, as calculated by a major fantasy sports provider, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution process ensures that the market outcome aligns with the actual performance of the players involved in the game, providing a transparent and objective result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any resulting payouts after the resolution date.
Several signals could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington or Philadelphia teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in player usage or game strategy announcements could also impact expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on game day, or even late-breaking news about player matchups, could all contribute to price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can indicate informed activity and potentially signal a shift in market sentiment.