TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which player or unit will score the first touchdown for Washington in their upcoming game against Philadelphia. It covers various offensive players and the defensive unit, providing a focused competition on the opening scoring play for Washington.
The event determines whether a specified Washington player or the Washington defensive unit scores the first touchdown in the game against Philadelphia. Each market corresponds to a specific participant—if that participant scores the first touchdown for Washington, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap, even if the play is nullified by a penalty, the market outcome is determined solely by whether they score the first touchdown. Importantly, if Washington fails to score any touchdowns during the game, the 'No Washington Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player and unit markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each specified participant.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks which may incorporate biases or be influenced by marketing considerations. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities diverge from sportsbook implied probabilities, especially as new information becomes available and the event draws closer. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus expert analysis.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown in the Washington versus Philadelphia game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be assessed against publicly available and reliable sources to ensure a fair and accurate settlement. The final result will be clearly communicated on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive players for either team, particularly the Washington running backs or wide receivers, would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the expected game plan and impact which players are favored to score. Late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching strategies could also move the market. Finally, significant betting activity itself, driven by informed traders or public sentiment, can cause prices to fluctuate.