TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which Philadelphia player or unit will score the team's first touchdown in an upcoming game against Washington. Each market is tied to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by in-game performance.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified Philadelphia player or unit scores the team's first touchdown in the game originally scheduled for September 13, 2026. If the designated player or unit is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a snap is taken, resolution depends on whether that player or unit scores the first touchdown. If Philadelphia fails to score any touchdowns, all player and unit markets resolve to No, and the 'No Philadelphia Touchdown' market resolves to Yes. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws closer, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds, depending on how the crowd interprets the new data. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the price, the greater the market’s confidence that the outcome will happen. Traders can take either the 'yes' or 'no' side, effectively betting on whether the first touchdown will be scored by Philadelphia. Market depth and volume influence price discovery.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the game between Washington and Philadelphia. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the results and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly, distributing payouts to contract holders based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on both teams – particularly the quarterback and wide receivers – would be major catalysts. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact scoring potential. Major news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Finally, any significant public announcements or expert analysis predicting a change in team performance could lead to shifts in trading activity and price adjustments in this market.