TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Washington will win the professional baseball game against New York M, with the current probability on Kalshi standing at 98.0% for Washington and 2.0% for New York M. The outcome will be resolved based on the game's result. The decisive moment to watch will be the game itself, scheduled for August 14, 2026, as this is when the winning team will be determined.
If Washington wins the Washington vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If New York M wins the Washington vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may price in factors beyond win probability, such as public interest or media narratives, which can cause this market to deviate from standard sportsbook spreads. The dynamics here can be more volatile, especially as new data emerges, making it distinct from conventional betting odds.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the officially recognized contest conclusion, ensuring transparency and alignment with real-world results. Traders can track news and updates as the date approaches to anticipate any last-minute shifts.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 15, 2026. Major injuries to key players, coaching changes, or unexpected playoff implications might dramatically alter trader expectations. Performance trends over the next few games — particularly head-to-head matchups — will also be closely watched. Any shift in public perception, driven by media coverage or social sentiment, may influence pricing as well. As the season progresses, updated power rankings and expert analyses often cause noticeable movement.