TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether either the Washington team or the Detroit team manages to score at least one run during the first inning of their scheduled game. The outcome depends on the early offensive performance of either team in the matchup.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Washington vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of a run in the first inning. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s significant public interest and trading activity. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk assessments.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether at least one run is scored in the first inning of the Washington versus Detroit baseball game. The official scoring of the game will be used to determine the outcome, and any disputes will be resolved based on generally accepted baseball rules and statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding starting pitchers, such as injuries or late changes, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions, particularly forecasts of rain or wind, can also impact scoring expectations. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from baseball experts and any last-minute lineup adjustments could all contribute to price movements. A strong performance by either team in recent games might also influence how traders assess the likelihood of early scoring.