TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for a specific date and time. The outcome depends on whether the game extends beyond the standard nine innings. This occurs when the score is tied at the end of the ninth inning, requiring additional play to determine a winner.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Washington vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 23, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. As more information becomes available and more people participate, the prediction market odds can become more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event draws closer. It's common to see convergence, but divergences can also present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations of how others will react. This dynamic process creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of different results in the Washington vs Detroit game. The market depth indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Washington vs Detroit game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the relevant sporting authorities. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The platform will clearly announce the resolution and payout details once the outcome is officially determined.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in pitching rotations, or weather forecasts could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance from key players during the game itself would also be a major catalyst. Additionally, public sentiment and media coverage can sometimes impact trading activity, even if the information isn’t directly related to the game’s fundamentals. Monitoring these signals and understanding their potential impact is key to successful trading in this market.