TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Washington will win its professional baseball game against Detroit. Currently, the probability of Washington winning on Kalshi is 97.0%, while Detroit winning is at 4.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, as determined by the official result of that contest. Keep a close watch on the game itself on September 23, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
If Washington wins the Washington vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 23, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Detroit wins the Washington vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 23, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a broader range of information and incentives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective judgment of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, especially when there is significant public interest and information available. However, sportsbook odds remain a valuable point of comparison for understanding the perceived probabilities of various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a dynamic pricing mechanism, meaning prices change in real-time based on supply and demand, and traders can set their own bid and ask prices, influencing the overall market price.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Washington vs Detroit game, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington or Detroit teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant public sentiment shifts based on pre-game analysis could all influence trading activity. Major announcements related to team performance or player availability are also likely to cause volatility in this market as traders react to new information.