TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game by measuring how many times they successfully tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The focus is on evaluating defensive intensity and strategy through sacks, a key statistic in assessing a team's defensive pressure.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by either Washington or Dallas during the Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026, excluding any sacks made during 2-point conversion attempts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2+ to 6+ sacks) for either team; if the team's total meets or exceeds its respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines that are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the perspectives of many traders. As more information becomes available and betting activity increases, the odds on Kalshi may converge with, or diverge from, sportsbook odds depending on how the public perceives the likely outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets offering more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event, as they incorporate a wider range of insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the number of sacks. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a specific number of sacks, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to reflect the latest information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of sacks in the Washington versus Dallas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key offensive linemen or defensive players on either team would be major catalysts, as they directly affect pass protection and pass-rushing ability. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the game plan and potentially lead to fewer passing attempts, impacting sack opportunities. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups could shift trader sentiment and cause the odds to move. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.