TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a rushing milestone in an upcoming football game between Washington and Dallas. Each market focuses on a different player and their potential to exceed a set rushing distance during the contest. The outcome depends on in-game performance metrics.
The event evaluates whether designated players record a longest rush exceeding specified yardage thresholds in the Washington vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records a rush longer than the stated threshold, that market resolves to Yes. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the longest rush actually recorded during the game. These rules apply independently to each player market, with all markets operating under the same foundational conditions regarding player participation and snap counts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on public perception, while this market aggregates the insights of numerous traders. It’s common to see prediction market prices move closer to the true outcome as more information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. However, sportsbook odds and this market can sometimes align, especially if there is strong consensus or limited uncertainty surrounding the event. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt during the Washington versus Dallas game will be declared the winner. Official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the longest rush, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor the game results closely as they approach the resolution date to understand how the outcome may impact their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on both teams are significant catalysts, as the absence of a star player could dramatically alter the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game plan and favor different players. Furthermore, any news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups could impact trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements.