TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks passing yard milestones for both quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. Each market focuses on whether a specific player achieves a set threshold of passing yards during the match. The outcome depends entirely on the players' performance in the game.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback achieves the specified passing yard threshold in the Washington vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the total passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in resolution regardless of the yardage threshold specified.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, tends to more closely reflect the true probabilities as perceived by those participating. However, it’s common to see initial discrepancies, especially before significant trading volume occurs, as sportsbooks may set lines based on early information or public perception. Over time, these odds often converge as more information becomes available and the market matures.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the confidence levels associated with each possible outcome, offering a dynamic view of expectations for the Washington vs Dallas game.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yard totals for the Washington vs Dallas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the official result reflected in their account balances following the completion of the game and verification of the data. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also shift expectations. Pre-game analysis from reputable sports analysts, while not definitive, can influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or betting trends at sportsbooks could create arbitrage opportunities and drive trading activity in this market.