TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they achieve. Bettors can speculate on whether a player will reach certain thresholds of scoring passes during the match. The outcome depends purely on the players' ability to connect with receivers for touchdowns throughout the game.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing touchdowns recorded by the specified quarterback—Dak Prescott or Jayden Daniels—during the Washington vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, 4+, or 5+ passing touchdowns). If the named quarterback is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once the quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any given play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome thresholds for both quarterbacks, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance-based markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market aggregates the views of individuals with varying levels of knowledge and insight. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can arise from differing opinions on player performance, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions, all influencing how traders assess the probability of various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Washington vs Dallas passing market. The current volume indicates active participation and a degree of uncertainty surrounding the potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by each team in the game will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the completion of the Washington vs Dallas game. Traders will then be able to see which outcomes were correctly predicted and receive payouts accordingly. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses, as any changes could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, particularly to quarterbacks or wide receivers, would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the prediction of heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected passing performance. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team dynamics or player availability could introduce volatility and cause the market to react swiftly.